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Newspaper wrap-up: EU investigating the long-term implications of Rio Tinto deal

MAJOR PAPERS:
OTHER PAPERS:
  • Sources familiar with the inquiry said that the Justice Department has opened a formal antitrust investigation into a deal that would allow Google Inc (NASDAQ: GOOG) to provide some search advertising for Yahoo!. The Washington Post reported that investigators will demand documents from Google and Yahoo!, as well as other large companies in the media and Internet industries.
WEB SITES:
  • Reuters reported that regulators in the European Union are looking at the long-term effects of BHP Billiton Limited's (NYSE: BHP) $170B bid for Rio Tinto Group (NYSE: RTP). Sources familiar with the EU questionnaire said regulators have asked competitors and customers about effects of the deal on their businesses through 2015.

Arcelor to jump into the BHP Billiton/Rio Tinto fray?

Since 1975, Lakshmi Mittal has turned ArcelorMittal (NYSE: MT) into a global steel powerhouse. As a result, he's worth in excess of $45 billion. Actually, as an indication of his power, Mittal is now a board member of Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (NYSE: GS).

And, no doubt, his dealmaking is likely to continue. In fact, there are reports that ArcelorMittal will make a play for Rio Tinto Group, which is the #2 ore producer in the world. The company is currently ensnared in a hostile takeover from BHP Billiton Ltd. (NYSE: BHP). Basically, ArcelorMittal may make an equity investment, which could exceed $10 billion.

Why? ArcelorMittal needs to find ways to stabilize its raw material supplies. After all, with pricing pressures, it's important to contain things.

Then again, this may ultimately be mostly noise -- to get traders excited. But, in light of ArcelorMittal's global power, investors will definitely listen.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements. He also operates MergerBook.com.

Early market movers (GM) (F)

Rio Tinto (NYSE:RTP) is 4% higher, apparently because of rising commodities prices.

BHP Billiton (NYSE:BHP) is up 3%, also due to rising prices for metals.

Ford (NYSE:F) is off 2% on predictions of weak June sales.

Fear of falling car sales is also driving GM (NYSE:GM) down by almost 2%.

Stocks may trade different in the pre-market than they do in the regular session.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Newspaper wrap-up: Yahoo! reportedly plans reorganization

MAJOR PAPERS:
  • The Wall Street Journal reported that, in an attempt to move past its takeover battle with Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT), Yahoo! Inc (NASDAQ: YHOO) is planning a reorganization. People familiar with the matter said executives are discussing a plan to centralize numerous product groups into a global-product organization. Details may be announced next week.
  • The Wall Street Journal also reported that an internal feud at Live Nation Inc (NYSE: LYV) over strategy may soon be resolved, as the concert promoter is reportedly negotiating the exit of chairman Michael Cohl.
OTHER PAPERS:
  • A recommendation by an Australian commission to open Rio Tinto Group's (NYSE: RTP) Pilbara railway to third parties could cost $30B if the idea is implemented, Rio contended and the Australian reported. The National Competition Commission, which advises Australian governments on infrastructure issues, has suggested that Fortescue Metals Group be given access to certain rail lines operated by Rio Tinto.
WEB SITES:
  • A joint investigation by CBC News and the Canadian Press found one-third of people shot by Taser International Inc's (NASDAQ: TASR) Tasers reportedly required some medical attention, Engadget reported.
  • TechCrunch confirmed that Joshua Schachter, the founder of delicious, will resign from Yahoo!. Sources believe the near-stalled development of the new version of delicious may have played a part in his resignation.

Pre-market movers (BCE) (BHP) (RTP)

BHP Billiton (NYSE:BHP) and Rio Tinto (NYSE:RTP) are both up about 5% as mining stocks rebound in London trading.

BCE (NYSE:BCE) is off over 16% after a Canadian court blocked the company's LBO.

NetApp (NASDAQ:NTAP) is off almost 12% on weak earnings.

NetEase (NASDAQ:NTES) is down about 3% after reporting numbers worse than Wall St. expectations.

Stocks may trade differently in the premarket than they do during the regular session.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Before the bell: M, DE, FRE, WFMI, ERTS, AMAT, PFE, BHP ...

Before the bell: Futures lower ahead of CPI

Macy's (NYSE: M), which was forecast to report a loss of a penny a share in the first quarter, said the difficult retail environment hurt sales and it incurred costs from a restructuring. The loss came to $59 million, or 14 cents a share, compared with a profit of $36 million, or 8 cents a share, a year earlier. (As the numbers are quite fresh, it's possible they include one-time item not yet sorted out and not comparable to analyst expectations.)

John Deere (NYSE: DE) said its second-quarter profit rose 22%. Deere experienced increased demand for its farm equipment, as crop prices kept rising, posting an 18% increase in sales. Profit for the quarter jumped to $763.5 million, or $1.74 per share, a penny below analyst estimates. From premarket early action, it seems shares of DE might start much lower.

Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) also reported this morning, saying its first quarter loss widened to $151 million as the U.S. housing market worsened. Somehow, though, the results were not as poor as expected and FRE's loss of 66 cents a share beat estimates of a 92 cents a share loss. FRE's shares are up over 6% in premarket trading.

Still on earnings, last night Whole Foods (NASDAQ: WFMI) and Electronic Arts (NASDAQ: ERTS) reported results. Shares of WFMI are plunging nearly 9% in premarket trading as the organic grocery chain reported a worse-than-forecast 13% profit fall.

Electronic Arts (NASDAQ: ERTS) shares are also declining over 2.8% in premarket trading after the suitor of Take-Two Interactive (NASDAQ: TTWO) reported a widening quarterly loss and a disappointing outlook.

Continue reading Before the bell: M, DE, FRE, WFMI, ERTS, AMAT, PFE, BHP ...

Newspaper wrap-up: BHP CEO lashes out at Rio Tinto

MAJOR PAPERS:
  • The Wall Street Journal reported that Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) CEO Alan Mulally isn't done cost-cutting. According to people close to the situation, Mulally is considering more job cuts, selling its Volvo brand and closing the troubled Mercury brand.
  • BHP Billiton Limited (NYSE: BHP) CEO Marius Kloppers strongly criticized Rio Tinto Plc (NYSE: RTP) and its CEO yesterday, the Financial Times reported. BHP Billiton has outperformed Rio Tinto in several areas, including share price appreciation and EPS growth, said Kloppers, adding, "On every metric I can envisage they [Rio] have been beaten."
OTHER PAPERS:
  • According to the Economic Times, AT&T Inc (NYSE: T) is reportedly in preliminary talks with Malaysia's Maxis Communications about buying its 74% stake in Indian cellular phone company Aircel, sources said.
  • The United Auto Workers union has rejected several "generous" benefit and wage proposals, according to American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings Inc (NYSE: AXL). In a statement yesterday, the Detroit News reported that American Axle said while tentative agreements had been reached on several issues, the UAW "repeatedly rejected" other proposals that were "considerably higher than the market rate."

Analyst initiations: Jefferies Group, Quality Systems, Techwell

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Jefferies Group, Quality Systems and Techwell were today's noteworthy initiations:

  • Friedman Billings initiated Jefferies Group (NYSE: JEF) with a Market Perform citing the difficult underwriting environment and challenging credit market.
  • JMP Securities initiated Quality Systems (NASDAQ: QSII) with an Outperform rating and $35 target. The firm expects the company's practice management and electronic medical record solutions to benefit from growth opportunities within the ambulatory market.
  • Techwell (NASDAQ: TWLL) was assumed with an Overweight rating and $14 target at Thomas Weisel, as they expect TWLL to have continued stable revenue growth given its market leadership and increased global security demand.

OTHER INITIATIONS:

  • Bernstein initiated NetSuite (NYSE: N) with a Market Perform rating and $23 target.
  • Keefe Bruyette started Comerica (NYSE: CMA) with a Market Perform rating and $37 target.
  • BHP Billiton (NYSE: BHP) and Rio Tinto (NYSE: RTP) were assumed at ING with Buy ratings.

Analyst upgrades: BHP, RTP and PRU

MOST NOTEWORTHY: BHP Billiton, Rio Tinto and Prudential Financial were today's noteworthy upgrades:
  • Bernstein upgraded shares of BHP Billiton (NYSE: BHP) and Rio Tinto (NYSE: RTP) to Outperform from Market Perform as they believe urbanization in China will increase demand for metals.
  • Prudential Financial (NYSE: PRU) was raised to Overweight from Underweight at Lehman as they believe the company's exposure to commercial mortgage-backed securities is limited.
OTHER UPGRADES:

Before the bell: C, NWA, MSFT, YHOO, NWS, SIRI, AUY ...

Before the bell: Investors await jobs data; MOT, GSK, UBS

As the mega-merger that created Citigroup (NYSE: C) is nearing ten years, the Financial Times interviewed John Reed, one of the masterminds behind the deal. Interestingly, he told the paper that the deal was a mistake and blasted several segments and personnel at the bank.
In other Citi news, the bank has agreed to pay $33 million to settle a discrimination lawsuit involving about 2,500 current and former female brokers at the company's Smith Barney subsidiary.

A day after ATA ahas filed for bankruptcy, Northwest Airlines Corp. (NYSE:
NWA) said it was taking several steps to overcoming higher fuel costs. Among them, Northwest said it has "raised prices on international flights, plans to freeze new hiring of pilots and flight attendants, and will cut its domestic schedule by 5% beginning in September."

The Wall Street Journal reports that senior executives of Microsof (NASDAQ: MSFT) and Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO) met this week to discuss Microsoft's bid for Yahoo!. Already we heard a few days ago that Microsoft is unwilling to raise its offer, and for now at least, Yahoo! continues to refuse to enter formal negotiations without a better offer. While no doubt Microsoft wants Yahoo!, it may be that Yahoo! needs Microsoft. On that basis, it's possible Microsoft could hold its own, betting Yahoo! would cave in first.

Continue reading Before the bell: C, NWA, MSFT, YHOO, NWS, SIRI, AUY ...

Newspaper wrap-up: Bush plans more funds for mortgages

MAJOR PAPERS:
OTHER PAPERS:
  • The Chinese government has locked out Australian mining giants BHP Billiton Limited (NYSE: BHP) and Rio Tinto Plc (NYSE: RTP) from selling iron ore into its daily spot market, the Sydney Morning Herald reported. Mining sources said that the decision may have already cost Australia up to $300M in export profits.

Newspaper wrap-up: Countrywide Financial investigated by the FBI

MAJOR PAPERS:
  • According to sources, the Wall Street Journal reported that Countrywide Financial Corporation (NYSE: CFC) is under investigation for possible securities fraud. People close to the situation say the inquiry is in its early stages but it involves an inquiry into alleged misrepresentations of the company's financial position and the quality of its mortgage loans.
  • The Financial Times reported that Credit Suisse Group (NYSE: CS) has teamed up with three leading academics to create products that will deal with the potentially lucrative hedge fund replication industry. The upcoming suite of products will attempt to mechanically replicate the returns of the major hedge fund strategies.
OTHER PAPERS:

Option update: BHP Billiton volatility flat as it attempts to convince RTP of buyout

BHP Billiton (NYSE: BHP) closed of $73.64 Thursday.

BHP announced on Feb. 6 the offer of 3.4 BHP shares per Rio Tinto (NYSE: RTP) to create the world's largest mining company.

BHP overall option implied volatility of 45 is near its 26-week average according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional risk.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Fund roads & bridges NOT mad money stimulus

It is alarming to me that the same people who screw up the economy (or stand by watching) are the ones that are now promoting the remedies. They have proven without a shadow of a doubt that this is not their strong suit. The proposed economic stimulus package has bi-partisan support and calls for an estimated $156 billion of tax rebates ranging from $500 to $1,000 (+ $300 for each child) that might show up in May.

If we are going to add on to our already humungous joke of national debt, than I want to invest this capital in something that will bring a higher return on invested capital (ROIC) than the paltry one time mad money. That expenditure should be for national infrastructure projects like roadways, bridges, tunnels, and waterways.

We have all heard about the poor condition of our national infrastructure and the hundreds of billions of dollars of repair work and replacement that is desperately needed.

This alternative would bring visible results that every single person in the country would benefit from and improved linkages always stimulate economic growth. Road improvements even reduce fuel consumption by shortening routes and reducing friction both strategically and physically.

Continue reading Fund roads & bridges NOT mad money stimulus

Rio Tinto's value seen enhanced by high-price gold mine sale

Rio Tinto's above-consensus sale price for its gold mine to Barrick Gold almost certainly increases Rio's negotiating stance vis-a-vis takeover bids from BHP Billiton or from other potential suitors, an analyst told BloggingStocks Friday.

"Rio's sale of its gold mine to Barrick for $1.7 billion when the market was expecting something like $570-$700 million is a fundamental data point the market cannot ignore," independent stock analyst C. Leonard Bauer said Friday. "It will force BHP Billiton and others receptive to a deal to redo their fair-value projections for Rio."

Rio (NYSE: RTP) has twice rejected hostile buyout offers from BHP Billiton (NYSE: BHP), the last for $147.4 billion, involving at least 3.4 BHP shares for each Rio share, arguing that the bids substantially undervalue Rio. Rio gained 64 cents to $452.89 while BHP gained $1.01 to $72.89 in Friday afternoon trading.

At first glance, the idea of bidding wars for targets appears to be a paradox in the current economic environment. After all, the U.S. economy is barely inching along, and the credit markets can be described, at best, as being cautious regarding potential deals. But the mining sector is another story, Bauer said. Strong economic growth in emerging markets has created surging demand for raw materials, minerals, and commodities. Further, the sector is in the midst of mergers and expansions that will produce miners with global market capabilities.

Iron ore war?

The above demand, particularly from Asia, Bauer said, has offset recent, modest quarterly earnings performance from some miners, and has driven up the value of miners like Rio and Freeport McMoRan (NYSE: FC).

In addition, China's size and its economic development plan has further increased miners' value. China, which with Alcoa (NYSE: AA) earlier this year jointly purchased a 9% stake in Rio Tinto through its Chinalco aluminum company, has said it will continue to seek acquisitions of foreign companies, including mining companies, Bauer said. Bauer added that he does not have a rating on any mining company nor own their shares.

"China may ultimately try to outbid BHP because a BHP / Rio union would unite two of the three largest suppliers of iron ore, which China needs for its economy," Bauer said. "A BHP / Rio union would likely leave China in a weaker negotiating position regarding iron ore prices. So you can see why Rio feels BHP's offers so far have not valued the company fairly. Rio knows that as long as China grows, it has a commodity likely to increase in value substantially for years to come. And that's a good place to be in, from a corporate standpoint."

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Last updated: July 03, 2008: 06:59 PM

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